Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Voters to go for youngest candidates?

John Davis, the former head of the pro-business group NCFREE, has come up with another set of N.C. political predictions, this time in the top three races in North Carolina -- and he says the younger candidates will win.
He projects that Barack Obama will become the first Democrat to win the presidential race since 1976 when Jimmy Carter won.
He predicts that Kay Hagan will become the first Democrat to win a U.S. Senate race in a presidential election year since 1968, when Sen. Sam Ervin won his last campaign.
And he also predicts that the same trend helping Hagan in her campaign against Sen. Elizabeth Dole, a Republican, will help Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory, a Republican, in his race against Democratic Lt. Gov. Bev Perdue: an anti-establishment mood.
In each case, the winner would be the youngest candidate.
"The two primary political forces driving the coming Election Day upheaval are
the anti-establishment mood of the voters and an era of
generational change, each compounding the power of the other
by coming together at the same time in political history," he notes.

Here's a link to his analysis:
Among other things, Davis notes that younger voters are motivated not by politics or ideology, but youth and hope:
"Newcomers to our state are more inclined to vote for Obama, Hagan and McCrory because they are younger and because they are not incumbent leaders of the day. Young voters are not voting for Barack Obama for U.S. President because he is a Democrat or because he's liberal, they are voting for him because he's 46 and offers them hope for a new direction for the country … one that their generation can influence."

18 comments:

Anonymous said...

I suppose could stomach an Obama presidency if that also incl a McCrory governorship. What happens in Raleigh has far more impact on our day-to-day lives than what may or may not happen in DC.

Hope people are able to see beyond a straight ticket vote and pull the leaver for Mayor Pat!

Anonymous said...

I agree with two-thirds of what Davis has to say. The third he misses is that Bev Perdue, by an eyelash, will be our next governor.

Anonymous said...

If you live in Charlotte, you can only hope that he is right about McCrory. This state isn't R or D, it's East or West.

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